NCLAT upholds NCLT order on Bharati Defence liquidation

Company classified as ‘going concern’

The National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) has upheld the decision of the NCLT to liquidate debt-laden Bharati Defence and Infrastructure.

The insolvency court in Mumbai had ordered liquidation of the company after rejecting the resolution plan submitted by Edelweiss Asset Reconstruction Co Ltd, leaving two dozen defence vessels stranded. A clutch of lenders stand to lose ₹11,373.40 crore which the firm owes them.

Going concern

The NCLAT, while upholding the National Company Law Tribunal’s (NCLT) decision, said the company should be classified as a “going concern”. In accounting parlance, a going concern means a company can continue to operate. There are more than 850 employees on the rolls of what was once India’s second biggest private shipyard with a much sought-after licence from the government to build warships.

Earlier, a resolution plan was backed by the Committee of Creditors (CoC) in which Edelweiss ARC had an 82.7 per cent voting share as a financial creditor after taking over debt of ₹6,248.84 crore from some 20 lenders by paying ₹1,813.90 crore.

NCLT apprehensive

NCLT had cast doubts over the genuineness of the plan. “The resolution applicant has not given a practical and viable plan to manage the affairs of the corporate debtor (Bharati). The plan contains a lot of uncertainties, a lot of speculation. The public shareholding in the company would be reduced to a mere 2 per cent from the current substantial level of approximately 60 per cent,” the NCLT had noted.

The NCLT order was challenged on the ground that liquidation order has been passed with “material irregularity” due to fraud committed by the ‘Resolution Professional’.

While NCLAT rejected the challenge, the Tribunal pointed out that considering the national importance attached to product line of the company, the customers, especially Ministry of Defence, Indian Coast Guard, Customs, the order book size, in addition to advances paid by various government departments, Bharati Defence and Infrastructure has been classified as a “going concern”.

Vijay Kumar V Iyer has been appointed as the liquidator and the tribunal has directed that work should be taken from existing employees and workmen.

Shares shaken, bonds surge as Trump stirs recession risk

US stock futures slid and sovereign bonds surged on Friday as investors feared President Donald Trump’s shock move to slap tariffs on Mexico risked tipping the United States, and maybe the whole world, into recession.

The outlook darkened further when a key measure of Chinese manufacturing activity disappointed for May, questioning the effectiveness of Beijing’s stimulus steps.

Markets moved aggressively to price in deeper rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, while bond yields touched fresh lows and curves inverted in a warning of recession.

Washington will impose a 5% tariff from June 10, which would then rise steadily to 25% until illegal immigration across the southern border was stopped.

Trump announced the decision on Twitter late Thursday, catching markets completely by surprise and sparking a rush to safe harbours.

“The threat of US tariffs on Mexico to take effect inside two weeks is a sharp blow to investor sentiment,” said Sean Callow, a senior FX analyst at Westpac.

“Mexico is the US’s largest trading partner and a flare-up in trade tensions was definitely not on the market radar,” he added. “This is obviously a major setback for CAD, MXN and the thousands of US businesses that use Mexican-made products.”

Yields on the 10-year Treasury note quickly fell to a fresh 20-month low of 2.18%, while the dollar jumped 1.7% on the Mexican peso. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 slipped 0.7% and FTSE futures 0.4%.

Asian shares slid at first but soon drew month-end bargain hunting having suffered a torrid few weeks. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged up 0.3%, though it was still down 7.3% for the month.

China’s blue chip index added 0.7%, partly on talk Beijing would now have to ramp up its stimulus measures.

Japan’s Nikkei pared early losses to be off 0.6%, but was still down 6.5% for the month so far.

Investors clearly feared that opening a new front in the trade wars would threaten global and US growth, and pressure central banks everywhere to consider new stimulus.

On Thursday, Federal Reserve Board of Governors Vice Chair Richard Clarida had said the central bank would act if inflation stays too low or global and financial risks endanger the economic outlook.

“What the Clarida’s comments have done is clarify in many people’s minds the answer to the questions of whether low inflation proving more than transitory would itself be enough to get the Fed to ease the answer appears to be ‘yes’,” said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.

“That served to reinforce prevailing market expectations that the Fed will be easing in the second half of this year.”

Indeed, the case that the inflation slowdown was temporary took a blow when the core personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed’s favoured measure of inflation, was revised down to 1% for the first quarter, from 1.3%.

Trump’s tariff threat only added to the dangers and the market further narrowed the odds on Fed easing this year and next. Futures imply 44 basis points of cuts by year end in the current effective funds rate of 2.38%.

YIELD INVERSION = RECESSION RISK

Bonds extended their bull run with 10-year Treasury yields now down a steep 32 basis points for the month and decisively below the overnight funds rate.

Such an inversion of the yield curve has presaged enough recessions in the past that investors are wagering the Fed will be forced to ease policy just as “insurance”.

Yet Treasuries are hardly alone in rallying, with bond yields across Europe either at or near record lows. Yields in Australia and New Zealand are also hit an all-time trough on expectations of rate cuts there.

Those declines have kept the US dollar relatively attractive from a yield point of view and it was trading near a two-year high against a basket of currencies at 98.119.The euro was huddled at $1.1133, having shed 0.7% for the month. The safe haven yen has been faring better and was holding a small monthly gain on the dollar at 109.33.

Sterling was poised for the biggest monthly drop in a year as the imminent departure of Theresa May as prime minister deepened fears about a chaotic divorce from the European Union.

The pound was last at $1.2611 and nursing a 3.2% loss for the month so far.

In commodity markets, spot gold edged up 0.2% to $1,291.64 per ounce.

Oil prices fell to their lowest in almost three months on fears a global economic slowdown would crimp demand.

US crude was last down 46 cents at $56.13 a barrel, while Brent crude futures lost 63 cents to $66.24.

Alkem Laboratories Limited

IPO Opens on Dec 8, 2015
IPO Closes on Dec 10, 2015
IPO Type 100% Book Built Issue
Equity Shares  Offered 12853442 Equity Shares
Face Value of Shares Rs 2 Per Equity Share
Price Band Rs 1020 – Rs 1050 Per Equity Share
Market Lot 14 Shares
Issue Size  Rs 1311.05 – 1349.61 Crs
Listing on BSE, NSE
Lead Managers Axis Capital Limited, Edelweiss Capital Limited ,  J.P. Morgan India Private Limited,  Nomura Financial Advisory And Securities (India) Pvt Ltd
Object of the issue To achieve the benefits of listing the Equity Shares on the Stock Exchanges
For the sale of 12,853,442 Equity Shares by the Selling Shareholders.

Recent Updates

CCI imposes Rs 74 cr fine on Alkem Labs

IPO momentum: Dr Lal PathLabs, Alkem big hits in the grey market

Overview

Alkem Labs is a pharmaceutical company which is involved in the development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical and neutraceutical products. It was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Maharashtra, India. The pharmaceutical major produces branded generics, generic drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredients and neutraceuticals, which they market in India and 55 other countries internationally, primarily the United States.

It has a diverse portfolio of over 736 brands in India. Company’s most significant therapeutic areas in domestic market are anti-infectives, gastro-intestinal, pain and analgesics, and vitamins, minerals and nutrients.

The Company has 16 manufacturing facilities out of which 14 manufacturing facilities are based in India while two in the United States. Out of 14 Indian units two are R&D facilities whereas both the facilities in the US are R&D. The firm employs a total of 483 scientists in the R&D field. Five of its facilities are USFDA, TGA and UK-MHRA approved. Of the Indian manufacturing facilities, 12 are for manufacturing formulations and two for manufacturing APIs.

As of FY 15, Alkem Labs stands as fifth largest pharmaceutical company in India in terms of domestic sales. In the United States, company has filed 66 abbreviated new drug applications.

It has invested Rs 150-200 Crs for expansion in US facility and in the domestic market. About 75% of its revenue comes from domestic market and remaining 25% from international business with a about 3.6% market share. It currently has a cash of Rs 1500 Crs in its books

Promoters

Mr. Samprada Singh
Mr. Basudeo N. Singh

Consolidated Financial Trend ~ Amt in Rs Crs

Particulars 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
Total Sales 3964 3291 2662 2161 1804
PAT 461 435 384 406 396
EPS (Rs) 39 36 32 34 33
Equity Cap 23.9 11.96 11.96 11.96 11.96
Net Worth 2999 2721 2308 1869 1465
BV (Rs) 251 228 193 156 123
Long Term Debt 33 232 256 309 246

 

3i Infotech Ltd Ltd

IT Consulting & Software

FV – Rs 10; 52wks H/L –10.31/2.18 ; TTQ – 12.47 Lacs ; CMP – Rs 4.13 (As On October 8th 2015; 13:40) ;  Market Cap – Rs 252 Crs

Consolidated Financials and Valuations for FY15 (Amt in Rs Crs unless specified)

Equity Capital Net worth Long Term Debt Total
Sales
PAT BV
(Rs)
EPS (Rs) P/E Industry P/E P/BV Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
668.75 (384.3) 1860 1348 (976) (5.7) (14.5) 24.62 (0.7) 6.37 1.7

Standalone Financials and Valuations for Q1 FY16

Equity Capital Net worth Total
Sales
PAT BV
(Rs)
TTM EPS (Rs) TTM P/E Industry P/E P/BV Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
668.75 (458) 275 (74) (6.8) (10.85) 24.62 (0.6) 6.37 1.7

 Consolidated Financial Trends (In Rs. Crs) :

Particulars FY15 FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11
Equity Paid Up 668.75 637.64 636.55 291.99 291.99
Networth -384 595 915 818 1290
Total Debt 2025 2345 2084 1989 1999
Net Sales 1348 1438 1364 1731 2587
Other Income 4 130 52 50 17
PAT -976.3 -357 -505 -360 252.5
Book Value (Rs) -6 9 14 28 44
EPS (Rs) -14.6 -5.6 -7.9 -12.3 8.6

 

Allcargo Logistics Ltd

Logistics

FV – Rs 2; 52wks H/L –396/256.15; TTQ – 24 K; CMP – Rs 380(As On November 24th 2015; 15:30) ; Market Cap – Rs 4806 Crs

Consolidated Financials and Valuations for FY15 (Amt in Rs Crs unless specified)


Equity Capital

Net worth
Long Term Debt
Total
Sales
PAT
BV
(Rs)

EPS (Rs)

P/E

Industry P/E

P/BV

Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
25.24 1908 358 5681 240 151 19.02 19.2 39.76 2.5 69.92 0.86

Consolidated Financials and Valuations for Q1 FY16


Equity Capital

Net worth

Total
Sales
PAT
BV
(Rs)

TTM EPS (Rs)

TTM P/E

Industry P/E

P/BV

Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
25.24 2084 1468 72 165 21.9 17.4 39.76 2.3  

69.92

 

0.86

 

On 6th November, 2015 the company declared a bonus issue of 1:1 on a FV of Rs.2 per share.

Overview

Allcargo Logistics Limited (Allcargo) is engaged in providing integrated logistics solutions. Allcargo offers logistics services across multimodal transport operations, inland container depot, container freight station operations, third party logistics operations and project and engineering solutions. The Company has three segments: Multimodal Transport Operations, which involves non vessel owning common carrier operations related to less than container load consolidation and full container load forwarding activities; Container Freight Stations Operations / Inland Container Depot, which is involved in import / export cargo stuffing, de-stuffing, customs clearance and other related ancillary services, and Project & Engineering Solutions, which provides integrated end-to-end project, engineering and logistic services through a fleet of owned / rented special equipment to carry over dimensional cargo (ODC) and overweight cargo (OWC) cargos, as well as project engineering solutions.

Management

  • Shashi Kiran Shetty – CMD
  • Jatin Choksi – CFO

 

The Equity Capital is @ Rs 25.24  Crs consisting of 126047762 equity Shares of FV Rs 2 currently held as under

None Of the Promoter’s Holding is Pledged.

Major Non-Promoter Holdings

Sr.No Non – Promoters No. of Shares held % of shares held
1 BLACKSTONE GPV CAPITAL PARTNERS MAURITIUS V-ALTD 5593035 4.44
2 BLACKSTONE GPV CAPITAL PARTNERS (MAURITIUS) V-K LTD 5577255 4.42
3 BLACKSTONE GPV CAPITAL PARTNERS (MAURITIUS) V-L LTD 4792105 3.8
4 NEW VERNON PRIVATE EQUITY LIMITED 3109513 2.47
5 ACACIA PARTNERS, LP 2881887 2.29
6 BLACKSTONE GPV CAPITAL PARTNERS (MAURITIUS) V-M LTD 2297145 1.82
7 ACACIA INSTITUTIONAL PARTNERS, LP 2017508 1.6
8 ACACIA CONSERVATION FUND LP 1552100 1.23
9 ACACIA BANYAN PARTNERS 1345005 1.07
Total 29165553 23.14

 Consolidated Financial Trends (In Rs. Crs) 

Particulars FY15 FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11
Equity Paid Up 25.24 25.24 25.24 26.11 26.11
Networth 1908 1793 1586 1490 1181
Total Debt 475 613 458 767 377
Net Sales 5681 4895 3992 4325 2890
Other Income 52 36 65 53 26
PAT 240 149 169 284 165
Book Value (Rs) 151 142 126 114 90
EPS (Rs) 19.02 11.81 13.39 21.75 12.64

Alphageo (India) Ltd

Oil Equipment & Services

FV – Rs 10; 52wks H/L –268/647.05 ; TTQ – 14 K; CMP – Rs 530(As On October 8th 2015; 13:10) ; Market Cap – Rs 44.5 Crs

Consolidated Financials and Valuations for FY15 (Amt in Rs Crs unless specified)

Equity Capital Net worth Long Term Debt Total
Sales
PAT BV
(Rs)
EPS (Rs) P/E Industry P/E P/BV Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
5.64 83 73 14.5 147 25.7 20.6 12.90 3.6 41.98 1.5

*Virtually Debt Free

Standalone Financials and Valuations for Q1 FY16


Equity Capital

Net worth

Total
Sales
PAT
BV
(Rs)

TTM EPS (Rs)

TTM P/E

Industry P/E

P/BV

Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
5.64 82.5 5 (0.5) 146  

1.9

 

278

 

12.9

 

3.8

 

41.98

1.5

     

 Key Updates

  • The company will decide and approve, issue of Shares or Warrants on preferential basis Promoters and Promoter Group and Persons other than Promoters in a meeting held on 13th October, 2015.
  • The Government is expected to invite bids for seismic survey activities in 26 sedimentary basins in India, covering about 48,000 line km (2D survey) to be conducted between 2015-16 and 2018-19.
  • Every USD10 per barrel fall in oil price can enhance India’s GDP growth by around 0.15%, lowers WPI by around 0.5% and CPI by about 0.2% and further improves India’s current account balance by around USD 9 billion – 0.5% of GDP.
  • The Prime Minister set a goal of reducing India’s dependence on imports from 77% of its ‘energy’ requirement by 10% by 2022, and by 50% by 2030 keeping India’s hunt for oil expected to accelerate.
  • NELP- X xpected in the current year wherein government will offer 42 oil blocks to successful bidders.
  • By 2035, the world’s population is projected to reach 8.7 billion, which means an additional 1.6 billion people will need energy.

 Overview

Alphageo (India) Limited is the largest onshore integrated seismic service provider in the private sector and enjoys a market leadership in seismic survey. Alphageo was incorporated in 1987 to offer seismic and other related services to the rapidly growing oil exploration and production sector. The Company’s globally-benchmarked competence comprises acquisition, processing and interpretation of seismic data for oil exploration. In the business of seismic services, Alphageo’s competitive strengths comprise deep insight into challenging terrains and diverse topographies environmental sensitivity, technology leadership, highly skilled manpower and state of the art equipment. The company possesses indepth expertise in operating with globally accepted technologies for seismic survey, namely 2D, 3D and Seis-loop technologies. Alphageo was the first seismic service provider in India to conduct night operations in urban Thiruvarur to minimise public inconvenience.     

No. of projects Delivered 49
Area covered under 2D survey 5000 sq.km
No. of 2D projects completed 28
No. of 3D projects completed 21

Bulk Deals

Deal Date Client Name Deal Type Quantity Price (Rs.)
28-Jan-13 Minal Bharat Patel P 242877 42.85
28-Jan-13 Gandiv Investment Pvt.Ltd S 244102 42.87
29-Feb-12 Sakkhi Barter Pavt.Ltd S 28712 63.25
18-Jul-11 AKG Securities & Consultancy Ltd S 25804 154.19
18-Jul-11 AKG Securities & Consultancy Ltd P 25804 154.6
11-Apr-11 Bharat Shah S 38191 124
11-Apr-11 Acira Consultancy Pvt.Ltd P 38191 124
21-Mar-11 Minal Bharat Patel S 50000 103.5
21-Mar-11 Hardik Bharat Patel P 50000 103.51
21-Mar-11 Sound Securities Pvt.Ltd S 40150 110
21-Mar-11 Hirak Leasing & Investment Pvt.Ltd P 40150 110

Management

  • Dinesh Alla – CMD
  • Venkatesa Pasumarthy – CFO

The Equity Capital is @ Rs 5.64  Crs consisting of 5634767 equity Shares of FV Rs 10 currently held as under

4.98% Of the Promoter’s Holding is Pledged.

Major Non-Promoter Holdings

Sr.No Non- Promoters No. of Shares held % of shares held
1 Shivani T Trivedi 151528 2.69
2 Arcira Consultancy Pvt Ltd 136144 2.42
3 Surendra Kumar Jain 110943 1.97
4 Minal B Patel 75413 1.34
5 Vasr Consultants and Financial Advisers 72203 1.28
6 Tanvi Ruchit Patel 59301 1.05
7 JHP Securities Pvt Ltd 58162 1.03
  Total 663694 11.78

Consolidated Financial Trends (In Rs. Crs)

Particulars FY15 FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11
Equity Paid Up 5.64 5.64 5.39 5.14 5.14
Networth 83 69 41 49 52
Total Debt 0.8 4.4 4.6 2.7 1.2
Net Sales 73 96 23 43 30
Other Income 0.7 1.2 0.2 2.1 0.6
PAT 14.5 26.5 -10.7 5.1 11.2
Book Value (Rs) 147 122 76 95 101
EPS (Rs) 25.7 47.0 -20 9.9 21.8

Risks

  • Lack of orders could adversely impact business growth.
  • Competition in the seismic survey space is increasing as India is fast inviting global players.
  • Timely project completion against all odds is critical for business growth.
  • India, the second most populous nation is suffering from a shortage of skilled people.
  • Government Dependency and Interference.
  • Forex Fluctuations and largely dependent on the crude oil prices.

MMTC @ Rs 44 ~ 92000+ Shareholders sob on 98% Wealth Erosion!

The Tag line for Government Owned and run and listed  MMTC is weepingly (sure this is a legit word!) ironic at “Touching Lives.Adding Value”

Wow !… considering a 98% Shareholder Wealth Erosion inside years ! 

MMTC could well be My ! My ! Take Care! …. Shareholders may well say “What’s Left to Take Care !” 

MMTC quotes currently  @ Rs 44 (FV Rs 1) and it’s 92000 + Shareholders surely continue sobbing and cursing !…. Do you really expect the Government who owns the Company to really care !? Their share is at Face Value Rs 1… sorry 50 paise as they too got the 1:1 Bonus in 2010

It’s such debacles and destruction in even PSUs like MMTC  that swept away Retail Investors in hordes from our Equity Markets… It’s been a Crisis of Credibility and Confidence that continues to affect their return though it seems Memory is short as Mutual Funds Numbers  are reflecting their return  

….and is not Government supposed to protect you through Investor Protection & Safety and Awareness & Education Measures through Regulator SEBI and the Exchanges !?

I suppose in MMTC you required protection from the Government itself ! 

MMTC began the Crazy pre Lehman Year of 2007 at Rs 2200 levels on a FV of Rs 10 and raced away in just eleven months by November 2007 to Rs 57000 levels ….what was hailed as a glorious magical life changer for the few who were considered God’s creatures to have been bestowed the opportunity to buy in early  in 2006 & 7 ! 

Share Price began correcting yet remaining at Rs 40000 levels at the beginning of 2010.In June 2010 the 1:1 Bonus and 10:1 Split dropped price to below Rs 2000 levels on the adjustment.

Whether one bought at 2007 High of Rs 57000 or even at Rs 40000 at the beginning of 2010 the erosion has been @ 98% after adjusting ex bonus and ex split cost to Rs 2850 and Rs 2000 per FV Rs 1 share respectively !… this inside three years as in August 2013 the Share Price sank below Rs 40…. it’s being raising hopes only to belie in the past two years and is currently trying to stay over Rs 40 

Government from earlier 90% now owns 89.93 % of the Equity of Rs 100 crs after selling 731238 shares at Rs 57 to 309 Employees in 2013/14 …unlucky Employees !…Oh ! LIC owns 4.81% of the Equity.

Consolidated FY 15 Topline is @ Rs 24000 crs (Trading in Precious Metals,Coal,Hydrocarbons and Fertlisers) with Bottomline at @ Rs 78 crs before adjusting for associate company loss of Rs 120 crs that takes the final bottomline into a loss of Rs 42 crs.The Consolidated Accounts are for MMTC and one wholly owned subsidiary,Seven JVs where it owns 26% of the Equity in six and 18% in one,and two associated companies of  1.1 mtpa Steel Company Neelachal Ispat Nigam Ltd (NINL ~holds 49.78% of the Equity) and  Devona Thermal Power (owns 26% of the Equity). The Loss is from the Steel Company

Yet MMTC has raised Dividend to 25% from 15% in FY 14.The Consolidated Networth as on March 31,2015 is Rs 1364 crs with Book Value at Rs 13.64

A worry that has arisen in ongoing FY 16 is the Rs 762 crs unprovided disputed liability on account of Associate Company NINL  as Delhi Court has ruled against the company in a legal matter. MMTC plans to appeal.

Yet is MMTC at Rs 44 a Contrarion Play  going forward  3 to 5 years ! ?…. it was being said about MTNL too at Rs 12 to Rs 15 levels a few years ago and it yet is at Rs 17 after some spurts!

MMTC Trading Volume on BSE  & NSE was 1.2 lakhs shares and 3.6 lakhs shares respectively today with nearly half for delivery

Kwality destroyed 90 % from Rs 160 to Rs 21 in a year ! Blame the Brokers for going broke?

You were looking for 100% gains in a year…Poof ! now you see your Principal evaporating near 100% 

Kwality Limited’s Share Price has evaporated nearly 90 % from Rs 160 to Rs 21 in a year !

Blame the Brokers for going broke?  

Where was the Quality in the first place !... it was clearly basking in the sunshine of the surge in the share price of other Dairy Companies like Heritage & Parag Milk

I recollect how aghast I was when Kwality Ltd was recommended strongly by not one but several well known broking houses in 2016 & 2017 when it was being quoted in the Rs 110 to 140 range. Targets given by them were extremely tempting to succumb to ! ~ one gave Rs 263 ! ~ another projected Rs 200 !

I have often  mentioned this Company at my Fundamental Equity Value Vs Price Training Workshops when illustrating severe Corporate Governance Issues

A few months ago on March 27, 2018 Kwality had responded to the Exchanges on their concern of falling share price that there was no strategically significant development in the organisation or business & that they were committed to deliver sustainable value to its shareholders at all time… Wow!

The Problem perhaps was on news of Promoter Dhingra pledging shares… or the Company complaining to the exchanges that a broker was fradulently selling shares in the market. Earlier this month Kwality has also been put on the Additional Surveillance Measure (ASM) List.Their June 20,2018 Board Meeting to consider buyback and /or Bonus has been rescheduled to July 3, 2018 as majority of the Directors could not make it

What’s going on here !

The Exchanges have just been notified of a downgrading of credit rating by Brickwork. It was just two months ago in April 2018 when Brickwork had given their last ratings  

Today Kwality  was  on lower circuit at Rs 21.15 with heavy volumes before opening up to hit upper circuit & closing a little lower at Rs 22.95 on BSE…relief rally or someone finds real value now !? …52 Week High was @ Rs 160 a year ago… that’s nearly 90% wealth destroyed  from a Market Cap of  @ Rs 3800 crs to just above Rs 500 crs !

This is not to condemn the Broking Houses or vilify them… after all the Money & Risk is all yours… no one held a Gun to your head to invest in Kwality !… so don’t blame the brokers for going broke in this ! even if they had any vested interest in recommending the Company for Investment

Just to warn you not to be carried away by momentum & sentiment in bull markets & follow anyone blindly

Oh ! if I was the Filmstar Akshay Kumar I would be concerned… he’s their brand ambassador & you can see him popping out of their FY 17 Annual Report & Ad Campaigns & Product Packaging too. Kwality’s Brand Campaign involves partnering with Mcain, Zenith Optimedia, Adfactors & Digital Quotient

Quality is always the name of the Equity Game …Clearly something is deeply amiss in Kwality for quite some time & it’s led to share price destruction on the exchanges  !…ironically it’s products quality is well established

That’s it ! Got my Theme for the next Fundamental Equity Value Vs Price Training Workshop on August 4, 2018 ~ ‘Q’  attend  karey? Q is for Quality  

Update, July 4, 2018

Much Ado about Nothing !

Best way to describe the outcome of the rescheduled July 3, 2018 Meeting yesterday to consider Buyback & Bonus & Interim Dividend

Share Price is back on lower circuit at Rs 20.65

Here’s the verbatim pretty ‘intense’ notification last evening to BSE

Dear Sir/Ma’am 

This has reference to our intimation communique dated June 07, 2018 and June 20, 2018.
In this connection, it is informed that the proposed issues relating to buyback of securities and/or Bonus issue of securities and payment of interim dividend were considered by the Board today on merits. Intense deliberations on the issues were initiated with Stakeholders both internal and external including Investors and Lenders. The matter was intensely debated in context of current situation and future vision, the Board finally concluded to defer the decision on the issues, for the time being. 

Kindly take note of the above.

Just a thought ~ It was a Board Meeting…. Right? How were Investors & Lenders involved unless invited or had nominees on the Board ?…so which Investors & Lenders are they referring to as I don’t observe any nominees on board? …. next an EGM perhaps called by the agitated minority shareholders perhaps ?

Just Last year in the FY 17 AR the Chairman Dr Rattan Sagar Khanna exclaimed “We are in a very exciting phase of growth” while the MD Sanjay Dhingra boasted “We are in the process of becoming a best-in-class”

‘Zindagi Non-Stop’ was the positioning in a new Brand Campaign that had Akshay Kumar as the brand ambassador …it’s actually been ‘Notifications to Exchanges Non-Stop’ & ‘Share Price Destruction Non-Stop’ ….8 Notifications already by July 3,2018 in just three days of ongoing July & 17 in the last month of June 2018 !

The Red Flag often is the poor Dividend Payout… here they have declared Rs 0.10 (10%) for FY 18 but yesterday’s meeting has deferred the decision to pay it.It’s FY 18 EPS has dropped to under Rs 3 from Rs 7 in FY 17… the payout is a token 3%… in FY 17 it was under 1.5% !… one not so amusing way to view this is that the MD’s Salary in FY 17 was Rs 1.3 crs which was over 50% of a similar Rs 0.10 /share (aggregate Rs 2.36 crs) dividend payout then too.

Interestingly in FY 17 in June 2016 they had made a preferential allotment of Equity Shares at Rs 110.44 to Media Giants Bennett Coleman & Co  & HT Media Ltd.Additionally Compulsorily Convertible Warrant & Compulsorily Convertible Debenture respectively of Rs 25 crs  & Rs 14 crs were made to these entities,both of which were converted earlier this year with allotment of Equity Shares at Rs 115.22 per share…. Such were set off against ads in print & non print media spend

Interestingly also in FY 17  KKR Capital Markets India Pvt Ltd subscribed to NCDs of Rs 100 crs & also extended Term Loan.. Security was Private Property & Promoter Shares … if you recall KKR was also jacked in JBF pumping in Rs 900 crs in Equity at Rs 300/share for a 20% stake in December 2015. I had blogged on this. JBF at Rs 43 currently is competing with Kwality in continuing share price destruction with KKR seeing over 80% & over Rs 750 crs blown away inside just two and a half years ! JBF ‘s FY 18 Results carry serious audit qualifications but accounts are yet prepared on a going concern basis as the company,among other measures,takes comfort in that it has signed a binding term sheet with KKR for infusion of funds in it’s subsidiary with change in equity holdings ! Wow !    

Minority Shareholders of Kwality deserve better disclosure & clarity on the real reasons for this continuing Share Price Destruction this year.How can the Exchanges accept Company’s explanation which effectively reads as “there is no explanation!”…. agreed Equity Investments carry risks but such debacles destroy the credibility & sanctity of our markets

Clearly the key lies in the significant changes in Promoter’s Equity & Pledging details as on March 31, 2018 from the earlier December 31,2017… the position has been rapidly changing even now

When 2018 commenced Promoters owned 15.22 cr shares or 63.94% of  Equity with 9.42 cr shares  or 61.91% of Holdings pledged. March 31,2018 shareholding shows Promoters holding lesser 13.22 crs shares or 54.76% of Equity of which 10.44 crs or  79.01% of holding was pledged

When I observed the Trading Pattern in 2018 it’s clear that the problem became alarming end March 2018 at price levels of Rs 90.The Insiders, in all probability even lenders who held pledged shares, clearly began exiting in the April to June 2018 quarter when defaults took place & collateral or pledge top up was either not done or was woefully inadequate.Daily Volumes of a few lakhs on BSE turned dangerously into seven figures & even topped One Cr shares on June 7, 2018 & nearly 74 lakh shares on June 29,2018

Remember Lenders have a margin of safety on shares pledged while Equity Investors do not !… though it’s clear Lenders Margin of safety too eroded rapidly in the last quarter & perhaps there has been a suffering of loss of some principal too

Just today July 4,2018 Exchanges have received a notification that more pledged shares have been invoked by a Lender & as of date the Promoter holding has slipped to 12.25 cr shares or 50.74% of Equity.Of this holding over 95% or 11.68 cr shares yet remain pledged 

Kwality is clearly struggling real big time & yet again the bourses are presenting a superb case study developing on the significant disconnect between seemingly Profitable Operations with grand growth plans announced for the way forward in consultation with E & Y & the Share Price Destruction & upheaval caused by the risks playing up due to the sell offs of pledged shares in a situation where the Promoter was forced to pledge nearly all his holdings hit by the double whammy of falling share price & the requirement to top up

That is why there is an additional risk you have to factor in when Promoter Shares are pledged… & if they are nearly all pledged,the risk becomes that much more acute & pronounced & the shareholders burden  can become that much more heavier

If you survive Kwality do be careful in the future… Oh ! it’s pointless to warn because when the next huge Bull run dawns the same mistakes will be repeated by most for they will again fear they are missing the boat!… so if you have to be in Equity,stick to Quality… this is no pun

Perhaps you now understand why most of India’s Investing Surplus continues to remain in lower but relatively safe Fixed Return Instruments,largely Bank Deposits…yes even in the stressed PSU Banks!

 

 

 

On Kochhars & Videocon is the ICICI Bank Board itself an NPA?

Outset Disclaimer

Neither my family nor me are shareholders of ICICI Bank or Videocon.

  • I do know the Kochhars only on a casual greeting basis when we came across each other on ‘Open & Speech Days’ at the School where our children studied. I did however 14 years ago, in and around 2004, meet up with Deepak Kochhar, at his request through a good common friend, at the Cricket Club of India Swimming Pool Cafe in Mumbai to explore the possibility of advising on his Family’s Equity Portfolio. It did not happen as we disagreed on how India was taking off. I had opined that the next few years would be great & they were, with GDP at 9% & Markets zooming in the 2005-2007 period. There was no further meeting after that  
  • In the 1990’s I had a private audience for just five minutes with Mr Dhoot of Videocon, at his request, in his car after he had attended a Rotary Meet in Ahmednagar to hear my address. It was a courtesy brief engagement
  • In the past I have, at the request & invitation of ICICI Bank, conducted a two day Securities Allocation & Portfolio Management Training Workshop in Mumbai for their Private Wealth Management Clients Group Managers from across India

On Kochhars & Videocon Link Controversy is the ICICI Bank Board itself an NPA? 

Caesar’s wife must be above suspicion

It’s always got to be Substance over Form, so we’re drilled into, while studying for Professional Accounting & Auditing Qualifications

So let me state that the Kochhars & the Dhoots of Videocon go back a long way into the 1990s… more on this later below 

So while the Form may be legit, albeit through a chronological maze of shareholdings changes & transactions, the substance of these have come into public glare recently on the alleged quid pro quo between Kochhars & Dhoots

While it remains to be established by investigative agencies & SEBI on any violation of disclosure norms & any conflict of interest and this quid pro quo between the Kochhars & Videocon on the Consortium Loan of Rs 3250 crs extended to Videocon by ICICI Bank in 2012, I raise this question to the ICICI Board as am concerned & angry to say the least, with this ‘Sense of Entitlement’ that continues to prevail in the upper echelons of our Institutional, Banking, Corporate, Political & Bureaucratic World. There are figuratively & often even literally Marriages of Convenience in these circles to strengthen the nexus. Perhaps a Competitor of ICICI Bank, like alleged even in controversies before, is again at play here… but the allegations are serious enough & the Bank’s Board has to be seen to really get behind all this before giving a clean chit. The Perception is that they are not doing so & the intent for this comes into question… more so after the response of the Bank’s Chairman on the current controversy to the Indian Express raises more questions than answered.

ACT ~ Accountability, Conscience & Transparency 

For me the Simple Question in this Matter that begs an answer is this :

Is ‘D’ a ‘Duh’ to give & forgive Rs 64 crs ?

Far from it, so there has to be more to it 

Let me spell out the chronological scenario to put it in perspective “

  • Why would ‘D’ of ‘V’ in Jan 2009, within 20 days of his entering into a 50:50 JV ‘N’ with ‘K’, completely sell of his 50% in ‘N’ to ‘S’ at par & also sell of at par his own private company ‘S’ holding of 9990 shares of FV Rs 10  to a ‘third party’ (this would be his associate ‘M’), as he defends his actions to Indian Express stating “… relinquishing my right, title and interests in the said shares, giving up control and management of Supreme Energy and completely disassociating myself from both the Companies all on the same day”? 
  • Why would then ‘D’ of ‘V’ give Rs 64 crs to  Company ‘S’ from his listed ‘V’ or any other of his entities  to give to ‘N’ alleged to be a Loan which was then converted to an allotment of zero coupon Fully Convertible Debentures allotted in March 2010 & finally converted to shares in March 2016?
  • As on March 31, 2015 ‘S’ held 47496 shares in’N’ apart from the Rs 64 crs FCDs. These shares should be the 24996 shares sold by V to S in Jan 2009 as above + 22500 shares sold by ‘P’ owned by K Family to ‘S’ in June 2009
  • In April 2012, ‘I’ Bank in a consortium extended Rs 3250 crs lending facility to the ‘V’ Group of ‘D’
  • In September 2012 ‘PE’ Trust of the K Family purchased at par FV 10 all 9990 shares of ‘S’ from ‘M’ (See above to recollect… the same shares sold in Jan 2009 by ‘D’ to ‘M’ at par)… this gave ‘K’ Family ownership of ‘S’
  • In April 2013 the ‘PE’ Trust of K Family subscribed at par Rs 10 to a further 80000 shares of ‘S’ which held held 47496 shares in ‘N’ apart from the Rs 64 crs FCDs in ‘N’. This is the @ Rs 9 lakhs Equity investment in ‘S’ by  the ‘PE’ Trust of K that is the accusation levelled at ‘D’ & ‘K’ as being a pittance of a price for handing over ‘S’ to ‘K’ Family’s ‘PE’ Trust
  • So as it stands we need to question & investigate the status of the original Rs 64 crs given by the listed ‘V’ or a ‘D’ Entity or any other Entity to ‘D’s originally owned private company ‘S’. Was it a loan to ‘S’? & if so has it been returned ? or was it an investment in Equity in ‘S’? which then does not have to be returned… of course this money was in turn given by ‘S” to ‘N’ as above… this probably also explains why ‘D’ of ‘V’ sold of his 9990 shares in ‘S’ in Jan 2009 itself to an associate ‘M’ so as not to disclose the transaction as a related party in the books of listed ‘V’ when ‘V’ is alleged to have later in 2009/10 extended Rs 64 crs to ‘S’… I went through the 2009/10 Annual Report of ‘V’ & there is no disclosure of any such Loan or Equity Investment in ‘S’…. so was it routed through another company of the ‘V’ group or one of ‘D’s private companies or was it some other entity ?

There are other Alphabets in play too (these are elaborated later below), but the above should suffice to conclude that :

  • Rs 64 crs invested in ‘N’ by ‘S’ in 2009/10  finally through FCDs allotted in March 2010 by ‘N’ was converted to Equity in ‘N’ in March 2016 & as of date both ‘N’ & ‘S’ are owned by the K Family…. so ‘N’ does not need to repay this to ‘S’…. but what about ‘S’ having to repay this to listed ‘V’ or any other ‘D’ related entity  or any other entity if it was indeed given as a loan? 
  • The ‘PE’ Trust of the K Family bought out ‘S’ at a pittance only in September 2012 after ‘I’ had sanctioned &  disbursed  consortium lending of Rs 3250 crs to the ‘V’ Group of ‘D’

To jog your memory there is an age old link between the Kochhars & Videocon even before they initiated this 50:50 JV in 2008 in NuPower Renewables

Did you know ?

  • The Kochhar Brothers, Rajiv & Deepak ran a listed company in the late 1990’s called Credential Finance Ltd. Rajiv was the Executive Chairman while Deepak was the Managing Director. It was last traded in December 2001 on BSE & BSE Records show it as compulsory delisted only last year on August 23, 2017…such a delisting,as different from a voluntary delisting, as per SEBI directives involves barring promoters from raising monies from capital markets for 10 years besides other stipulations. It was incorporated in 1992 as per MCA Records & till October 1, 1996 it’s name was Bloomfield Builders Ltd. In 1997 it’s Equity Capital was Rs 5.63 crs of Face Value 10 & it had declared a 6% dividend for 1996/7. If I remember correctly, the Shareholders included many top industrialist groups at the time had subscribed to shares at obscene premiums at the time when Income Tax Regulations to justify Issue Prices & Valuations were not in existence (these came in 2011/12). Do I need to spell out why ! Videocon directly or indirectly held a stake & it is important to note that Venugopal Dhoot’s right hand man & group financial advisor, S K Shelgikar was on the Board of Credential Financial. I recollect Credential had even sponsored a Squash Tournament as the Kochhars were avid Squash Fans & Players at the National Level. Rajiv has since promoted the Avista Advisory Group based in Singapore & India while Deepak has set up the NuPower Renewables Group

SEBI’s earlier ‘Panga’ with Videocon & Hindustan Lever & its Directors

In 1998, the infamous late Harshad Mehta of the 1991/92 Scam, through his Damayanti Group, had played up shares of BPL, Videocon & Sterlite in alleged connivance with their managements. Top Brokers too were involved as was the Shriram Mutual Fund. SEBI Chairman DR Mehta at the time in April 2001 had passed an order barring  Videocon International for Three Years from raising Monies from the Public in the Capital Markets & to pursue prosecution of the Directors, Mr V N Dhoot, Mr S K Shelgikar & Mr S M Hegde. They had appealed to the Securities Appelate Tribunal (SAT) who set aside the order in 2002 

M K Sharma, the current Chairman on the Board of ICICI Bank also serves on the Board of United Spirits, Wipro & Asian Paints. He had retired as Vice Chairman of Hindustan Lever Ltd (HLL)in 2007 and was a defendant in an Insider Trading Case filed by SEBI on Hindustan Lever on a purchase of Brooke Bond Lipton India Ltd (BBLIL) Shares from UTI in 1996 just two weeks before announcing that BBLIL was merging with HLL. SAT had set aside this order. His response, on the current controversy, as the Bank’s Chairman to Indian Express is pretty aggressive, in my view, but is bereft of the real answers that need to be provided.

I glanced through the names of the Members on the Board of ICICI Bank  & it’s no real surprise that they have backed the CEO & MD, Chanda Kochhar.

In the past we’ve witnessed how an ’eminent’ Satyam  Board too has cleared Promoter Ramalingam Raju’s Maytas Proposal to hide the cash hole …. we’ve also seen Infosys Board stand behind Sikka who eventually resigned last year 

Until Indian Express featured the Kochhars-Videocon-ICICI Bank link ups as their Headline Story updated as of March 30, 2018 the detailed blogpost letter of October 22, 2016 by  Shareholder Arvind Gupta on this was not in mainstream media even though he had addressed the issue to the PM & FM &  the heads of a host of regulatory bodies

The above Press Story & Blog post are in great detail of what they claim has transpired as a premeditated conspiracy between the Kochhars & Videocon’s Dhoot to benefit both through ICICI Bank loans to Videocon

It Boils down to simply this => What started out as NuPower Renewables Pvt Ltd(NRPL) & a 50:50 Venture in December 2008 between the Kochhars & Dhoots, who owns it now ? & how has the Capital Structuring & Shareholding Pattern Moved & at what Pricing ? Herein lies the whole question as to why would Dhoot let go at par his 50% incorporation time direct holding of 24996 equity shares of FV Rs 10 in NRPL & also 9990 equity shares at par directly held in his privately owned Supreme Energy Pvt Ltd( SEPL) on January 15, 2009 ? On Paper the SEPL Shareholder now was Mahesh Chandra Pungalia, an associate or employee of Videocon. SEPL then extended a Rs 64 crs loan converted to FCD in March 2010 to NRPL. In April 2012 ICICI bank extends a consortium facility of Rs 3250 crs to the Videocon Group. After this On September 29, 2012 Pungalia sold these 9990 shares of SEPL  at par Rs 10 to Pinnacle Energy Trust (PET) which NRPL claims was above Fair Market Value of Rs 8.82.Then in April 2013 PET subscribed to another 80000 shares at par Rs 10 in SEPL. Now SEPL came fully under the control & ownership of PET of which Deepak Kochhar is the Managing Trustee. NRPL states this subscription too by PET was done at Fair Market Value.Then just a year later E & Y gives NRPL an Enterprise Value of Rs 1092 crs ! & remember that at that time too SEPL had a direct Investment of  47496 shares in NRPL ( 22500 came from Pacific Capital,owned by Chanda Kochhar’s sister-in-law & father-in-law in June 2009 at par & 24996 came from Dhoot in January 2009)  & an investment of  Rs 64 crs through FCDs in NRPL ! ~ Then if the EV as per E & Y was Rs 1092 crs how was the FMV of SEPL only Rs 10 or below ! even if a large part of the EV was Debt? PET bought SEPL at par investing Rs 9 lakhs to do so & that’s where the meat in this controversy & conspiracy is ! Videocon directly or indirectly facilitated  to give Rs 64 crs to SEPL to give to NRPL. It ceded full control of SEPL to PET at par. In short Videocon who gave Rs 64 crs to SEPL to give to NRPL will not be entitled to get it’s money back as it’s now in the form of shares of NRPL held by SEPL which is now fully held by PET controlled by the Kochhars unless it’s yet in the form of a loan given to SEPL to in turn give to NRPL . The benefit of the E & Y Valuation, if we accept it solely goes to the Kochhars…. this is the Crux

Reviewing the Annual Reports of NRPL & SEPL would reveal changing Shareholding & Capital Structures & Book Values

I have gone through the revelations & accusations & the counter responses too & here are a few questions that arise or yet remain unanswered by the very cleverly worded Clarifications of Nupower & Videocon’s Venugopal Dhoot & MK Sharma, Chairman of ICICI Bank

  • NRPL states that Rs 64 Crs received from Supreme Energy Pvt Ltd (SEPL)were allotted as Fully Convertibles Debentures in March 2010. The accusation was that this was initially a Loan to NRPL from SEPL who in turn had got the monies to do so from another Videocon Company. So was this initially a Loan? & what were the FCD Conversion Terms? NRPL states the Conversion took place in March 2016. This is important as it establishes if there was any Premium on the Shares as Mr Dhoot had sold of his shares at Par itself (see below)  
  • Mr V N Dhoot says he resigned as Director of NRPL on January 15, 2009, within 20 days of appointment and sold of his 24996 Equity Shares of NRPL at Rs 10 par itself. To who? am connecting from data that the purchaser was SEPL. He further states that on the same day he had sold of his 9990 shares of SEPL at par too & received the Monies immediately.What he has smartly avoided is to disclose when did he receive the Monies for the sale of his NRPL Shares. If it was much later then one can suspect ante dating the transaction. Also he has not disclosed who was the purchaser of SEPL shares when the accusation is that it was sold to his own Videocon Group Employee, Mahesh Chandra Pungalia
  • Ernst & Young LLP’s Merchant Banking Subsidiary has valued NuPower Renewables Enterprise Value at Rs 1092 crs as on March 31, 2014. How have they arrived at this Valuation? In the six years from FY’12 to FY’17, the accumulated losses for NuPower amounted to Rs 78 crore. In FY’17 it posted a loss of Rs 14.3 crore. As on March 31, 2015 the Number of Shares was 20.47 lakhs. The E & Y Valuation translates into a phenomenal Rs 5333/share. Recollect it was E & Y who was pulled up by the Company Law Board for Valuing Maytas Properties at Rs 6523 crs in just one day ! in the Satyam Controversy of 2008/9 Perhaps the answer lies in the overseas funding NRPL received between 2010 & 2012 of Rs 325 crs from a Mauritius entity Firstland Holdings Ltd which was transferred to another Mauritius entity DH Renewables Holdings Ltd who then gave NRPL another Rs 66 crs in December 2014. DHL is a wholly owned subsidiary of a Cayman Entity with it’s head office in Singapore. It does need to be established who ultimately controls or is the final beneficiary of these overseas entities … daresay, this may really open up the Pandora’s Box !

Oh ! too many questions !…. let CBI & SEBI who have launched a Preliminary Enquiry figure it all out

For me, my only sense is that this blatant ‘in the face’ sense of entitlement’ mindset & culture that prevails & grows in powerful echelons of our society should be challenged & there has to be, & be seen too, high standards of Corporate Governance … ACT ~ Accountability, Conscience & Transparency 

I have no personal Axe to grind & no loan approval pending with the ICICI Bank !

Update April 2, 2018

Just read Venugopal Dhoot denying his Videocon Group or him ever investing Rs 64 crs in NuPower FCDs or ever routing Rs 325 crs to NuPower through Mauritius entities …Then who did? Who gave the Rs 64 crs to Supreme Energy in 2009/10 ( wholly owned by Dhoot till January 2009)to give in turn to NuPower? …& interestingly Rs 325 crs received later from overseas entities is exactly 10% of the Rs 3250 crs consortium facility share extended by ICICI Bank to the Videocon Group in April 2012 …just a coincidence perhaps…as I’ve said it has to be established whether these overseas entities had direct or indirect links with the Dhoots & their Private & public entities…Dhoot says Deepak Kochhar was an ‘old acquaintance’ & hence his investment in Deepak’s NuPower in December 2008…I would say having invested in Deepak’s listed Credential Finance way back in the 1990s & having his advisor Shelgikar on the Board too would merit concluding that Deepak was more than just an ‘old acquaintance’

In another parallel development the Economic Times has reported today that their sources say that the regulator RBI has directed the Axis Bank Board to reconsider the fourth three year term passed by it last year for it’s MD Shikha Sharma due to the deteriorating asset quality of the bank

Insider in Panacea Biotec ~ up 30% ~ but Exchanges let it go!

On January 12, 2018, loss making, litigation led Panacea Biotec kept slumbering at Rs 230 levels with Volumes below 10000 on BSE

Suddenly it woke up on January 15, 2018 shooting up to Rs 250 levels with Volumes of over 100000

This morning it’s crossed Rs 300

Company : PANACEA BIOTEC LTD. 531349

Period: 12-Jan-2018 to 23-Jan-2018

All Prices in Rs

Date Open High Low Close WAP No. of Shares
12-01-2018   38.05  239.90   231.45  233.25  235.03 9,775
15-01-2018  231.00  266.95  231.00  253.35  255.36 1,19,748
16-01-2018  253.35  264.00  252.15 253.70  257.60 24,406
17-01-2018  254.80  264.15 244.55  256.90  258.24 64,132
18-01-2018 262.90  283.95 260.00  264.70 272.82 2,61,399
19-01-2018 273.00 273.80 265.05 270.20  269.45 52,920
22-01-2018 273.35  291.00 265.00 288.45 282.78 1,26,136

BSE did seek a clarification from the company on  the morning of January 16, 2018

https://www.bseindia.com/corporates/anndet_new.aspx?newsid=8304f7c6-8c7d-4074-b2ba-d21cdc5d1e3f

& of course Panacea did send it a reply the same day

http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/41beb1d5-3505-4dc3-8852-ed5ab92889a2.pdf

It’s signed by Vinod Goel, Group CFO & Head Legal & Co Sec with a paragraph extract as below

“Further, the Company believes that there is no pending information/ announcement which in its opinion may have a bearing on the Volume behaviour in the scrip of the Company”

BSE of course, as is bound, put up this clarification for public view on their website

Wow ! because then promptly two days later on January 18, 2018 the Company makes a big Announcement being delighted to announce a collaboration through two long term agreements  with Serum Institute of India Pvt Ltd  & it’s subsidiary  for two Vaccines which have huge Global Potential

http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/5a977535-fd5c-4298-91e8-5551146c4071.pdf 

This too is signed by Mr Vinod Goel.I’m sure he has a good explanation for this & I for one would love to hear it.Did he not know about the Collaboration just two days before he announced it ? Nah! ~ Of course he was not obliged to disclose it on January 16,2018?…but he could have worded his January 16,2018 clarification better

The Volumes on NSE of course are larger than BSE

In light of the big announcement by Panacea on January 18,2018,just two days after company claimed there is no pending information or announcement that could have affected Volume behavior the Exchanges must follow through with Panacea on this .It’s also easy to bring up who brought the shares of the company from January 15 to the morning of January 18,2018 before the Public Announcement of the tie up

They obviously knew before hand

That’s why the Price has moved past Rs 300 this morning with view that these vaccines could be game changers and literally life savers for Panacea if they achieve Scale Sales as potential declared in the press release as above.a ‘beaming’ Mr Adar Poonawala of Serum Institute says it’s a historic deal as the release states.Dr Rajesh Jain of Panacea too is buoyant

That’s 30% up in the Share Price of Panacea in seven trading days from January 15,2018 of which three trading days clearly were pre announcement

This is exactly what I meant even in my last post on Scooters a few days ago where I’ve said

the Investors would be fantastically served if Companies notifications & clarifications are not just accepted at face value & are followed up diligently on full disclosures & transparency (there are comprehensive Corporate Governance Listing & Company Act stipulations)  & there is integrity of purpose & not merely contractual obligations for the sake of it that are showcased & filed away

Agreed, the Volume of Work can be daunting what with the hundreds of Notifications & Clarifications coming in daily to the Exchanges…quite often when I read such,I have strongly felt there were more serious questions that arise that need answers from the companies & which are not forthcoming,inadvertently or deliberate.Therefore the Exchanges need to continuously follow up with the companies raising the right questions for them to answer

Will the Exchanges continue playing the Beatles hit ” Let it be,let it be….”  ?

Disclaimer : Do not Own Panacea Biotec

P S : It’s raced away to Rs 337 just before 11 am on the bourses this morning