Scrip Watch

Provogue (India)  Ltd

Scrip Sanctuaries for protection from the wildlife in this jungle of Indian Equities

Provogue (India)  Ltd

Provogue (India)  Ltd
Realty
FV – Rs 1; 52wks H/L –9.99/2.90; TTQ – 65 K; CMP – Rs 5 (As On October 19th 2016; 15.00);                               

   Market Cap – Rs 116 Crs

Consolidated Financials and Valuations for FY16 (Amt in Rs Crs unless specified)


Equity Capital

Net worth
Long Term Debt
Total
Sales
PAT
BV
(Rs)

EPS (Rs)

P/E

Industry P/E

P/BV

Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
11.44 298 60 530 -198.34 26 -17.34 26.88 0.2 20.21

 

Standalone Financials and Valuations for Q1 FY17


Equity Capital

Net worth

Total
Sales
PAT
BV
(Rs)

TTM EPS (Rs)

TTM P/E

Industry P/E

P/BV

Promoter’s
Stake
Beta
11.44 298 65 -44.79 26 3.92 26.88 0.2 20.21
  • Promoter holding has decreased considerably from 41.25% in June,16 to 20.21 as on 17 August,16

 Valuation Parameters:

  1. Long Term Debt to Equity – 0.2
  2. ROE % – (67)
  3. Market Cap/Sales – 0.22

During the previous year, the Company has received part of insurance claim amounting to Rs.10.42 Crs against loss due to a major fire occurred in February 2014 at one of the Company’s Plant located at Daman.

Cash-strapped Provogue shuts over 60 stores in 1 year

http://www.financialexpress.com/industry/companies/cash-strapped-provogue-shuts-over-60-stores-in-1-year/233048/

The company on 9th Aug, 2016 allotted 119024732 shares of Rs.1 per share to SDR lenders at Rs.7.66 per share (Rs.91.17 Crs) which entitles them to hold 51% of post allotment paid up share capital of the company.

 

In October 2008 the stock split from Rs.10 to Rs.2 and further to Rs.1

1 —– 10

5 —— 2

In October it made a high of Rs.1460 of Face value Rs.10 each. Rs.1460 in 2008 of 1 share each comes to Rs.50 today for 10 shares of face value Rs.1 each.

The old Capital comprised of 14 % which has increased to 25% respectively.

The debt of Rs.305 Crs will come down to Rs. 214 Crs due to SDR issue to lenders which amounted to Rs.91 Crs.

 

Overview:

  • Provogue (India) Ltd is engaged in the business of manufacturing, trading of garments, fashion accessories, textile products and related materials.
  • The Company’s segments include Domestic and Exports.
  • The Company offers shirts, t-shirts, jackets, suits and blazers, sweaters and sweatshirts, jeans, trousers and chinos, shorts, socks, sunglasses, and shoes and trainers for men, and dresses, shirts and blouses, t-shirts and knitted tops, and fragrances for women.
  • The Company is a manufacturer and retailer of apparel under the brand Provogue.
  • The Company retails its products through Provogue stores, shop-in-shop outlets in national chain stores, and multi brand outlets.
  • The Company operates under 4 business units, namely — Fashion & Lifestyle, FMCG Personal Care, Institutional Sales and Provogue.com.
  • The Company has 14 subsidiary companies including step-down subsidiaries and 2 foreign subsidiaries.

Significant valuations attached to ‘Prozone’

Having significant experience in the retail business, Provogue is also leveraging its skill set by participating in the development of the high growth, organized retail infrastructure sector through its subsidiary Prozone Enterprises Pvt Ltd. Prozone intends to tap the early mover advantage through focus on unserviced consumer base in Tier II cities.

Management:

  • Mr. Nikhil Chaturvedi – MD
  • Mr. Deep Gupta – CFO

Bulk Deals:

Deal Date Client Name Deal Type Quantity Price (Rs.)
22-Mar-16 Mudra Securities S 838341 4.77
22-Mar-16 K L Enterprises LLP P 838341 4.77

 

 

Major Non-Promoter Holdings:

Sr.No Non – Promoters No. of shares held % of shares held
1 Nailsfield Limited 11415000 4.89
2 Punjab National Bank 12962512 5.55
3 Central Bank of India 16008968 6.86
4 Bank of India 20129375 8.63
5 Corporation Bank 19791443 8.48
6 Andhra Bank 46429315 19.89
7 Sandeep G Raheja 4489600 1.92
8 Rajesh R Narang 2324160 1

 

Snapshot of Prices since 2005 :

Year Open (Rs.) High  (Rs.)

Low (Rs.) Close (Rs.)
2005 250 299 123.25 206.7
2006 207.25 454 159.7 410.5
2007 419.5 1,350.00 413.3 1,277.65
2008 1,265.00 1,460.00 33.1 54.5
2009 53.35 75.5 26.3 58.15
2010 59.1 83.4 41.2 64.05
2011 64.5 65.45 17.15 19.55
2012 20 36.4 11.15 15.05
2013 15.2 16.4 5.55 8.77
2014 8.93 15.2 5.8 6.93
2015 7.5 8.65 4.51 6.79
2016 7.07 9.99 2.9 4.92

 

 

Consolidated Financial Trends (In Rs. Crs) :

Particulars FY16 FY15 FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11
Equity Paid Up 11.44 11.44 11.44 11.44 11.44 22.87
Networth 298 495 571 574 554 1022
Total Debt 338 454 496 349 361 344
Net Sales 530 756 850 798 804 709
Other Income 19 22 19 15 16 19
PAT -198.34 -74.84 -5.25 20.22 21.37 26.18
Book Value (Rs) 26 43 50 50 48 45
EPS (Rs) -17.34 -6.54 -0.46 1.77 1.87 1.14

 

YOY % :

Particulars FY16 YOY % FY15 YOY % FY14 YOY % FY13 YOY % FY12 YOY % FY11
Total Debt 338 -26 454 -8 496 42 349 -3 361 5 344
Net Sales 530 -30 756 -11 850 7 798 -1 804 13 709
PAT -198.34 165 -74.84 1326 -5.25 -126 20.22 -5 21.37 -18 26.18

 

Risks:

  • Too much dependency on brand ‘Provogue’: Although the company has created a very strong brand for itself, any loss in brand equity or damage will affect the business of the organization.
  • Delay in planned expansion: Any delay in expansion of stores across formats could impact our estimates and would be a downside risk to our recommendation.
  • Delay in project completion in Prozone: Any delay in completion of projects in reatil segment might correspondingly impact the hotel and commercial development as well as further phases of development. This may have a negative impact on the valuation of Prozone.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Excerpts from Gaurav’s Blog

Losers Focus on Winners – Winners Focus on Winning   Workshop Conceptualised & Conducted by GAURAV A PARIKH Stock Markets ~ Minting Millions ~ TOP 10 Winning Moves Grabbing Short Term Too While Compounding Long Term Post Pandemic lock-down, this is the First Fundamental Direct Equity ‘Value Vs Price’ Workshop in over Two and a Half Years by Gaurav Parikh and Jeena … Mumbai Equity Workshop ~ Saturday April 30 2022 ~ Almost Full ~ Top 10 Winning Moves Read More » The post Mumbai Equity Workshop ~ Saturday April 30 2022 ~ Almost Full ~ Top 10 Winning Moves first appeared on Gaurav's Blog. [...]

  Rest in Peace now Gerela Saab  ! Mr S T Gerela ex GM of BSE passed away peacefully this morning We had not met in years but he always remained at the top of my mind when it came to testimonials for this is what he had said to me over a decade ago,when … RIP S T Gerela ex GM BSE ~ gave me the best compliment till date Read More » The post RIP S T Gerela ex GM BSE ~ gave me the best compliment till date first appeared on Gaurav's Blog. [...]

Vedanta de-listing offer price Rs 87.50~Come on Mr Anil Agarwal ! Promoter Group of  Vedanta Ltd has proposed a voluntary de-listing at an indicative offer price of Rs 87.50~are the over 7.3 lakh minority shareholders from Alibag !? …apologies to the people of Alibag Some would term this as De-listing Duplicity ~ but I would … Vedanta de-listing offer price Rs 87.50~Come on Mr Anil Agarwal ! Read More » The post Vedanta de-listing offer price Rs 87.50~Come on Mr Anil Agarwal ! first appeared on Gaurav's Blog. [...]

This is a Riskless Reliance Industries Rights Investment Strategy for those over 2.3 Million Shareholders already holding RIL shares. It is not a recommendation to buy RIL cum rights  It’s a no brainer yet I’m just penning a brief note because some have told me they hold Reliance but are skipping the Rights ! Don’t … Riskless Reliance Industries Rights Investment Strategy Read More » The post Riskless Reliance Industries Rights Investment Strategy first appeared on Gaurav's Blog. [...]

 Wealth is negotiable, Health is not Your Personal Well Being is more important that the Stock Market Well Being ~ Always & more so in this unfathomable ongoing Covid-19 Reality Above’s a three minute reach out by me last night to all connected with me to reinforce this .It’s also posted on Facebook , … Covid-19 Crisis-Your Well Being is more important than Stock Market Well Being Read More » The post Covid-19 Crisis-Your Well Being is more important than Stock Market Well Being first appeared on Gaurav's Blog. [...]